Ford Wealth Report

November 13, 2006

The Markets

Investors' concerns about the election caused the markets to dive and sail like kites in a gusty wind, but they stayed aloft.

Strong performance early in the week was fueled by falling oil prices and good earnings reports. By Thursday, however, uncertainty about whether the newly elected Congress would be sympathetic to business issues triggered a sell off, according to Reuters. Shares of drug companies and healthcare stocks took a hit as investors anticipated that Democrats will address rising healthcare costs and related issues. The market recovered on Friday, and the major indexes finished the week higher: the Dow finished up about 1%, the S&P rose more than 1.2%, and the Nasdaq turned in the strongest performance, up about 2.5%.

Returns through 11/10/06 1-Week Y-T-D 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Dow Jones Industrials 1.0 13.0 13.3 7.1 4.6 6.7
Nasdaq Composite 2.5 8.3 8.5 6.3 4.8 6.4
Standard & Poor's 500 1.2 10.6 11.8 9.2 4.1 6.4

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Barrons
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three-, 5-, and 10-year returns are annualized. Assumes dividends are not reinvested.
 

THE BIG STORY OF THE EARLY 21ST CENTURY is China's status as the world bank, the country who the United States and others are becoming increasingly indebted to. The U.S. dollar fell to the lowest against the euro in more than two months after Reuters reported People's Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said he has a "clear" plan to diversify the country's foreign-exchange reserves. China's foreign currency reserves hit $1 trillion this past week, and of those reserves, over 70% are in US assets.

If and when China decides it's had enough with dollars, where will it turn? Some say to gold, of which China only has about 1% of its forex reserves, or about 600 metric tons. By comparison, the United States has 8100 metric tons of gold reserves. If China increased its reserves to around 5%, it would swallow up two years of global gold mining production, which is one of the many reasons gold bulls argue that gold will advance in the years ahead. Is it possible that China is exerting more influence than we think?

We get a lot of economic data this week, so hopefully that'll yield some clues.

 

ARE YOU SAVING FOR COLLEGE IN A 529 PLAN? If you are, you'll be glad to know that the Pension Protection Act (PPA) of 2006 permanently extended the tax benefits of state-sponsored 529 college savings plans (also called Qualified Tuition Plans). That means the money you've stashed away in a 529 Plan will continue to grow tax-deferred and can be withdrawn tax-free to pay for qualified education expenses. These tax benefits were originally set to expire after 2010.

What are 529 Plans?
If you're not familiar with them, 529 plans are state-operated investment plans that allow anyone to prepay, or make contributions to, an account that will be used to pay a child's or grandchild's qualified education expenses. Contributions are not tax deductible, but any earnings grow tax-deferred and distributions that are used to pay qualified expenses — like tuition, room and board, mandatory fees, books, and computers (when required) — are tax-free. Each state's plan has its own set of rules and restrictions, which are subject to change.

Two Types of Plans
There are two kinds of 529 plans: prepaid tuition plans and college savings plans. Prepaid tuition plans allow you to lock in future tuition costs at in-state public colleges (and some private colleges) at current prices. College savings plans allow you to save money in professionally managed accounts and use the proceeds at any college or university in the United States.

If you have grandkids, you may find 529 plan contributions particularly beneficial. Contributions may be considered gifts and excluded from your estate. In addition, the assets accumulated in 529 plans can generally be used for any grandchild. If you would like to learn more, please give us a call.

 

Weekly Focus — Here's a riddle for you.

Three friends check into a hotel for the night. The clerk tells them a room costs $30, payable in advance. They pay $10 each, and go to their room. A few minutes later, the clerk realizes he has overcharged the group $5. He asks the bellhop to return $5 to the three friends. The bellhop decides to return $3 to the friends, reasoning that it would be difficult to divide $5 among 3 people. He gives a dollar back to each of the friends, pockets $2 and goes home for the day!

Now, each of the three friends has paid $9 for the room which is a total of $27 for the night. We know the bellhop pocketed $2. Adding that to the $27, gives you $29, not $30 (the amount originally spent). Where did the other dollar go? Email us if you need help with the answer.

Best Regards,

Ford Wealth Report

Ken Ford

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