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Ford Wealth Report

October 22, 2007

The Markets

The stock market suffered a setback this week as the true state of the U.S. economy came into question after a mixed bag of earnings, further housing woes, and credit concerns.

U.S. stocks tanked Friday - the 20th anniversary of Black Monday - as panicky investors opted to sell after disappointing earnings from blue chips Honeywell International Inc., 3M Co. and Caterpillar Inc., along with crude oil's seemingly incessant rise, fueled worries of economic trouble ahead.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) dropped 369.1 points, or 2.7%, to stand at 13,519.8, giving it a weekly fallback of 4.1% and capping a five- session string of losses. All 30 of the Dow's 30 components closed in the red, with shares of 3M (MMM) among the hardest hit -- down 8.6%.

Gold continued its upward path as the USD hit a record low against the euro over concerns of a troubled economy. Other safe havens like treasuries had great weeks as the yield on the 10-year reached its lowest level in 5 weeks. Crude oil reached on all-time high as Turkey threatened military action against Kurdish rebels located in northern Iraq. Next week, housing data and earnings will take center stage as investors begin to discount the economic picture.


Returns through 10/19/07 1-Week Y-T-D 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Dow Jones Industrials -4.1 8.5 12.7 11.0 9.6 5.5
Nasdaq Composite -2.9 12.8 16.4 12.3 15.8 4.9
Standard & Poor's 500 -3.9 5.8 9.7 10.8 10.8 4.6

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Barrons
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three-, 5-, and 10-year returns are annualized. Assumes dividends are not reinvested.

Top Headlines:

  • The Consumer Price Index gained 0.3% in the month of September, led by higher food and energy prices. Core inflation rose by a slower than expected 0.2% for the month, giving more credence to the possibility of a Fed rate cut. (10/17)
  • Leading Indicators rose by 0.3% for the month of September, with seven of the ten leading indicators seeing an increase. This month's increase has continued the indicator's volatile trend, as the August number was revised to a decrease of 0.8%. (10/18)
  • Banking giants Bank of America (BAC), J.P. Morgan (JPM) and Citigroup (C) announced that they have agreed to create a joint fund to ensure liquidity in the commercial-paper markets. Over the past few months the commercial-paper markets have been in a crunch, seeing the amount outstanding asset-backed commercial paper fall by nearly 24%. While no specifics about the fund have been confirmed, many are speculating that it could be valued at nearly $100 bln. (10/15)

Earnings Snapshot:

  • Citigroup (C) shook the street this week as the banking giant reported a 57% decline in 3Q income from a year ago. The company cites the current credit market conditions for their poor performance. (10/15)
  • Yahoo (YHOO) surprised investors this week as they beat estimates. The online retailer expects to further profitability in the coming quarters as they complete many growth initiatives. (10/16)
  • eBay (EBAY) reported a 30% increase in 3Q revenue this week. The retailer saw improvements in marketplace listings, PayPal payments and international operations. (10/17)
  • Bank of America (BAC) struggled this week as the bank reported a 32% decline in 3Q net income. The corporation credits deteriorating credit market conditions for the substantial losses seen in investment banking operations. (10/18)
  • Google (GOOG) continued their dominance over the tech sector this week as the internet giant reported a 57% increase in 3Q revenue. Share prices soared to new highs on the announcement late Thursday afternoon. (10/18)

Weekly Focus

You Too, Can Be A Micro-Financier!
If you think twenty-five dollars is not enough to fight poverty, think again.

Dr. Muhammad Yunus, a Bangladeshi banker and economist, won the Nobel Peace Prize last year for his efforts to promote economic and social development in poor countries by extending small loans to people who were too poor to qualify for traditional bank loans. Now you can help, too.

You may not win a Nobel Prize, but your loan—an amount that you might spend taking grandchildren to the movies—could help to open a bakery in Afghanistan, establish a clothing store in Ecuador, or set up a public pay phone in Uganda. Imagine it. By lending twenty-five or fifty dollars, you can make a difference in the world, and earn a reasonable rate of return.

So, how on earth do you find an entrepreneur in a poor country who won’t disappear with your money? It’s easier than you might think. All you have to do is sit down at your computer and visit www.Kiva.org. Kiva has formed partnerships with existing micro-finance institutions in impoverished communities around the world. These partners evaluate loan requests and select qualified borrowers. The borrowers’ names, photos, loan proposals, and credit histories can be found online. Once you log in, you can review the candidates and decide who will receive the money you want to lend.

Did You Know?

EAT LOCAL!
Did you know the average ingredient on a Midwestern dinner table travels about 1,500 miles?
(Source: Iowa State University, Leopold Center for Sustainable Agriculture, Checking the Food Odometer, July 2003)

You may not have realized it, but if you’ve been enjoying summer tomatoes and fresh produce from the farmer’s market or from your garden, you’re participating in the newest food trend—eating local. If you become a devotee of eating food that is grown or raised close to home, you may qualify for the title of Locavore.

There are all kinds of Locavores. The very strict are committed to a 100-mile diet. That means they eat food that is grown no more than 100 miles from where they live. This can be tricky, especially if you live in an area that has a long winter season. It may require an ability to can fresh food and grind your own flour.

If you’re not ready to give up things that aren’t produced near where you live—salt, olive oil, chocolate, rice, pasta, spices, coffee, and other essentials—you may prefer the more lenient approach of wild Locavores. They primarily eat locally produced food, but allow themselves to indulge in some items that are brought from far away.

Why limit yourself to eating locally?
The reasons for eating local are as varied as the people who choose to do it. The following are some of the most commonly cited reasons for eating local.

  • Tastes good. Local produce is usually ripe, freshly picked, and bursting with flavor. Generally, locally produced food is bred for taste, rather than to withstand long distance travel or industrial harvesting.
  • May reduce tax spending. According to the Texas Department of Transportation, each heavy goods vehicle (such as an 18-wheeler) causes the same amount of wear and tear on roads as 9,600 cars. Our tax dollars are used to build and repair roads.
  • Builds a sense of community. Studies have found that farmers’ markets produce more than fresh food. They also produce nearly 10 times as many conversations between shoppers and sellers as a trip to a supermarket or superstore. Participating in a community garden can also build a sense of place and belonging.
  • May help the planet. Food supply systems in industrialized countries are some of the biggest consumers of fossil fuels and producers of greenhouse gases. Ironically, its product is at risk from global warming (that may be caused by greenhouse gases) which disrupts the predictable weather patterns on which agriculture depends.

Learn more!
If you would like to learn more, there are many books available. Some chronicle Locavores experiences with trying to eat local—a challenging feat for most; while others discuss what eating local means to the author and the world. You could try:

  • Animal, Vegetable, Miracle: A Year of Food Life by Barbara Kingsolver
  • The Omnivore's Dilemma: A Natural History of Four Meals by Michael Pollan
  • Coming Home to Eat: The Pleasures and Politics of Local Foods by Gary Paul Nabhan.

Happy reading!

 

Best Regards,

Ford Wealth Report

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