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Ford Wealth Report

August 27, 2007

Note! The markets and our office will be closed next Monday for Labor Day.
We hope you and yours have a wonderful holiday weekend!

The Markets

Sometimes Wall Street has a short-term memory. It was just a few short days ago on August 16th, that the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit an intra-day low of 12,455, which was an 11% drop from its July 19, 2007, all-time closing high 14,000, according to Yahoo! Finance. Remember that? Things were so tenuous in the credit markets that the Federal Reserve felt compelled to step in and add billions of dollars of liquidity to banking systems and to cut the discount rate. However, with last week’s strong rally, the Dow closed last Friday just 4.4% below its all-time high. And year-to-date, the Dow is up 7.4%, which is nothing to sneeze at.

Are all the problems that prompted the Fed to take action now behind us? The short answer is nobody knows. With all the exotic securities and new-fangled investments that have been sold in the past few years, it may take more time for the effects of subprime problems and liquidity issues to work their way through the system. Then again, it’s possible that the Fed’s action was all that was needed to cure the problem. Of course, we continue to monitor the situation.

Liquidity issues took a backseat last week as good economic news helped drive a nice rally in the stock market. In particular, data on durable goods orders and new home sales were perceived positively by the markets, according to MarketWatch.

With a lot of traders and Money Managers away from their desks next week before the Labor Day weekend, markets should be fairly range bound. It’s similar to a heavyweight fight… after several rounds of delivering heavy blows the Bulls and the Bears are now in the middle of the ring leaning on each other trying to catch their collective breath. When traders return to their desk post holiday, the battle will continue.

Returns through 08/24/07 1-Week Y-T-D 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Dow Jones Industrials 2.3 7.4 18.6 9.0 8.0 5.2
Nasdaq Composite 2.9 6.7 20.4 10.9 12.5 4.6
Standard & Poor's 500 2.3 4.3 14.2 9.7 8.8 4.6

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Barrons
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three-, 5-, and 10-year returns are annualized. Assumes dividends are not reinvested.

Top Headlines:

  • Leading Indicators rose 0.4% in the month of July. This increase indicates likely economic growth in the near future lead by consumer expectations, vendor performance and jobless claims. (8/20)
  • News of a possible merger between brokers TD Ameritrade (AMTD) and ETrade (ETFC) sent the markets higher this week. Also discussing possibilities are hotel giants MGM and Dubai World. After minimal M&A activity this past month, investors looked favorably upon these announcements. (8/22)
  • Bank of America (BAC) invested $2 bln into Countrywide Financial (CFC) preferred stock. Bank of America says the deal will be mutually beneficial and strengthen both parties. (8/22)
  • The Bank of Japan held interest rates at 0.5% this week. The move did not surprise analysts due to recent turbulence in the global credit markets. (8/23)
  • Durable Orders rose to 5.9% for the month of July. This gain was marked by an increase in demand for airplanes, vehicles, computers, machinery and steel. (8/24)
  • New home sales increased 2.8% in the month of July to 870,000. While this number was higher than 820,000 expected by economists, sales are down 10.2% compared with last July.

Weekly Focus

Although many think of Labor Day as a fashion marker—the last day to wear white—the holiday should mark far more.

During the 1880s, the first Monday in September was set aside to celebrate America’s working class and give those workers a day of rest. At that time, the American work week was 60 hours long: 10 hours a day, six days a week. In those days, employers provided few perks. Lunch hours, vacation days, sick leave, minimum wage, insurance coverage, retirement plans, stock options, and other benefits that we enjoy—and often take for granted—did not exist.

The rights that we expect in our workplaces today are the fruit of the struggles of the American workers who came before us, including children. During the late 1800s and early 1900s, every member of working class families worked and children earned substantially lower wages than their parents. Experts estimate that one of every six children in the U.S. under the age of 16 was working in 1880. They worked 60 hours a week, just like the adults. Although today’s children might not believe it, during a notable Philadelphia textile mill strike, children held signs that read, “We want to go to school!”

By the 1920s, the work week was shorter: eight hours a day, six days a week. Although Congress attempted to pass a constitutional amendment that would create a national child labor law during the same decade, it was blocked. Children remained an essential part of the American workforce until the Great Depression when jobs were scarce. In the 1940s, the standard forty-hour work week was established, although many Americans continue to work much longer hours.

American workers owe a debt of gratitude to our ancestors—skilled and unskilled, blue and white collar, of all ages and ethnicities—who fought to secure a better world for us. This Labor Day, remember to celebrate the strength and spirit of American workers.

If you’re interested in securing a better financial future for your children and grandchildren, please give us a call. We would be happy to help.

 

WILL TAKING A PERSONAL FINANCE CLASS IN HIGH SCHOOL help your child later in life? According to a new study, your teenager may be better off selecting another elective. Researchers at Ohio State found that adults who took a high school personal finance class didn’t score any better on a test of basic investment knowledge than those without a personal finance primer. Interestingly, however, respondents who took a personal finance class in college scored more than a full point (or a letter grade in academic terms) higher than those who took a high school personal finance course.

Published in a recent issue of the Journal of Family and Economic Issues, the study involved 1,039 alumni of Ohio State. So why would college classes be more effective than those in high school? Study co-author Jonathan Fox, an associate professor of consumer sciences at Ohio State University, says college classes are more comprehensive and that personal finance lessons may be more applicable for college students who are living on their own, paying bills, and dealing with financial aid issues.

Additionally, with study respondents who held a bank account before age 18 scoring more than 5% higher than those who didn’t, Fox says the study underscores the value of real-life financial experiences as teaching tools. Accordingly, he suggests the best way to convey the basics of personal finance to high school students might be to include real-world financial issues for teens in the curriculum.

There’s plenty of room for improvement when it comes to educating teens about personal finance. A 2006 survey measuring the financial knowledge of 12th graders conducted by the Jump$tart Coalition for Personal Financial Literacy found only 14.2% knew that stocks have historically, over long periods of time, returned more than bonds.

Place these 12 groups into pairs to make six currencies.

Cha Int
Kor Kwa
Lar Udo
Una Dir
Dol Esc
For Ham

Click here for the answers.

 

Best Regards,

Ford Wealth Report

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