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Ford Wealth Report

July 23, 2007

The Markets

After a week of earnings, Bernanke speeches, subprime meltdowns, rising oil prices, the falling dollar, and record setting Dow 14,000, the market failed to register a gain when the market closed on Friday.

The US dollar was sharply lower against its major counterparts as foreign banks continue to raise interest rates while the US rates hold steady. The dollar’s pain was gold’s gain as the yellow fellow reached a two month high as crude prices continue to climb. As volatility spiked, prices of treasury bonds rallied this week as investors sought a flight to quality. The yield on the 10-year now stands 4.956 – its lowest level in nearly two months.

Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) both announced earnings after-hours on Thursday with Google coming in below expectations and Microsoft reporting mostly inline. Citigroup (C) announced earnings of $1.24 a share versus expectations of $1.13 a share. Earnings were up 18% since last year driven by Citigroup's trading and international businesses. Intel (INTC) reported earnings up 44% from last year citing a smaller workforce and solid microprocessor shipments. For the quarter, Intel earned 22 cents a share beating expectations of 19 cents a share.

Along with another heavy dose of earnings reports this week, investors will also receive more info on home sales, durable goods orders, GDP, and consumer sentiment. If Friday was any indication, this week is going to be an important one.

Returns through 07/20/07 1-Week Y-T-D 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Dow Jones Industrials -0.4 11.1 27.4 11.1 12.3 5.8
Nasdaq Composite -0.7 11.3 33.0 12.2 16.1 5.8
Standard & Poor's 500 -1.2 8.2 23.7 11.9 13.6 5.5

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Barrons
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three-, 5-, and 10-year returns are annualized. Assumes dividends are not reinvested.

Top Headlines:

  • During his first day of testimony on Capital Hill, Bernanke said that he expects core inflation to continue to move lower over the rest of the year and into next year. (7/18)
  • During his second day of testimony on Capital, Bernanke said he expect significant losses from sub prime mortgages and that things will likely get worse before they get better with regard to foreclosures and delinquencies. (7/19)
  • The producer price index fell unexpectedly 0.2% during June while the core rate excluding food and energy rose 0.3%. Economists were expecting the core rate and the headline rate to both rise 0.2%. (7/17)
  • The headlines and core consumer price index rose 0.2% versus expectations for the core rate of 0.2% and the headline of 0.1%. (7/18)
  • According to the FOMC Minutes from the June meeting, members of the Federal Reserve remain concerned about inflation and are not convinced that the recent moderation of core inflation is sustainable. (7/19)
  • China's central bank raised interst rates 27 basis points from 6.57% to 6.84%. The move comes a day after data showed the Chinese economy grew 11.1% during the second quarter. (7/20)

Weekly Focus

WHAT’S SMALL ENOUGH THAT IT CAN BE RUN BY THREE MOTHERS in a neighborhood, or large enough to involve numerous communities and require incorporation as a non-profit and a staff? A giving circle. With more than 400 operating nationwide, a giving circle is formed when individuals pool their charitable dollars, decide where to give their money and volunteer time, and learn together about their community and philanthropy.

And we’re not talking about spare change. The 160 giving circles responding to a recent survey by the Washington, DC-based Forum of Regional Associations of Grantmakers have raised more than $88 million for community needs, granted nearly $65 million, and engaged more than 11,700 donors. In 2006 alone, giving circles granted $13 million for community needs. Members’ individual donations range from less than $100 to more than $100,000 each year.

The Forum’s report More Giving Together: An Updated Study of the Continuing Growth and Powerful Impact of Giving Circles and Shared Giving showed giving circles to be a trend with staying power. While one third of the giving circles surveyed were newly formed in 2005 or 2006, some 27 percent had been through more than five rounds of grantmaking.

From small towns like Moscow, Idaho to big cities like Chicago, the Forum’s database lists giving circles in 44 states and the District of Columbia. At a time when we seem increasingly disconnected from each other, giving circles provide a chance to learn and make decisions together. You can visit www.givingforum.org for more information.

Now that the US national debt is approaching $9 trillion, it might be worthwhile to understand just what a trillion is. A billion seconds add up to 31.7 years. But a trillion seconds adds up to 31,700 years! One trillion dollars end on end would reach 96.7 million miles, enough to go from the earth to the sun with about 3.7 million miles of dollar bills left over. Suppose some nice guy wants to make you a trillionaire by handing you a hundred dollar bill every second -- day in and day out 24 hours a day. You would have to collect those hundred dollar bills every second, seven day a week, for 317 years.

How did the debt get where it is today? $2 trillion worth of dollars was put in circulation between 1776 and 1990, $2 trillion more dollars were added between 1991 and 2000, $2 trillion more added between 2001 and 2003, and $2 trillion more in 2004 and 2005! The National Debt has continued to increase an average of $1.33 billion per day since September 29, 2006!

 

Best Regards,

Ford Wealth Report

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