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Ford Wealth Report

June 11, 2007

"Wealth is not his that has it, but his that enjoys it."
~ Benjamin Franklin

The Markets

Markets can turn on a dime and that’s exactly what they did last week. The bulls were undone last week by a sharp rise in interest rates. While many investors have been focused on rising crude oil prices, gasoline, the falling US dollar, etc., the yield on the 10-year benchmark Treasury notes has risen nearly 20% since last December (4.40% to 5.24%). While it is true that rates have been rising for some time, the fact th Treasury notes rose above 5% was a damaging psychological level for investors. There is no real reason why 5% should be a catalyst, except that it is a round number.

The media now seems open to the possibility that instead of lowering interest rates, the Federal Reserve might just raise them. The European Central Bank raised rates, and indicated that it is ready to increase rates again to battle inflation. The Bank of England and Central Bank of Australia appear to be preparing to increase rates, as well.

Last week's market decline did a great deal of internal damage among interest-sensitive securities, breadth, and other factors related to our measures of investor risk preferences. For several months, our primary reason for maintaining a defensive stance has been a combination of overvalued, overbought and overbullish conditions.

There is the likelihood of a short-term bounce for the markets, but a temporary bounce certainly does not chase the Bears back into their caves.

Returns through 06/08/07 1-Week Y-T-D 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Dow Jones Industrials -1.8 7.7 23.3 8.8 6.8 6.0
Nasdaq Composite -1.5 6.5 20.5 8.3 10.9 6.2
Standard & Poor's 500 -1.9 6.3 20.4 9.7 7.9 5.7

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Barrons
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three-, 5-, and 10-year returns are annualized. Assumes dividends are not reinvested.

Weekly Focus

HOW MUCH OF YOUR EMPLOYER’S 401(K) MATCHING CONTRIBUTION ARE YOU RECEIVING? If you participate in your employer’s 401(k) plan, and your employer offers matching contributions, it can be a good idea to contribute enough to receive the maximum employer matching contribution each year. Matching contributions are like bonuses that you receive only if you contribute to the plan—and who doesn’t want a bonus?

Employees who contribute the IRS maximum to their plan accounts each year may not receive full employer matching contributions unless they spread their contributions out over the full year. That’s because some employers calculate matching contributions by pay period rather than considering the full amount of an employee’s contributions in any given year. As a result, if you reach the IRS limit for 401(k) contributions during August then you may not receive employer matching contributions for the September, October, November, and December pay periods.

The solution is fairly straightforward. At the beginning of each year, do some simple calculations. Divide the maximum IRS contribution amount by 12 (the number of months in the year), and then contribute that amount to your account each month. If your plan requires that you contribute a percent of earnings, just divide the amount you want to contribute by your eligible earnings. If the math sounds intimidating, give us a call. We’ll help you determine how much to contribute to receive full employer matching contributions.


DO YOU LOVE CORN-ON-THE-COB? If you haven’t noticed yet—the cost of corn is going up. One effect of our nation’s shift to ethanol is that demand for corn is increasing. It takes one bushel of corn to make 2.7 gallons of ethanol, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and ethanol producers are expected to increase their demand for corn significantly during the next decade. Higher demand usually translates into higher prices. Already, in Mexico, the price of tortillas—a staple in the Mexican diet—has tripled, creating issues for vendors, consumers, and the country’s new president. In the United States, consumers have seen chip and cereal prices increase, and more increases may be on the way.

Inflation isn’t always predictable. Prices of everyday goods will continue to increase over time. If you want your retirement to be all that you hope, it’s important to begin saving and investing early.

Annie is a freshman at Boston University. She has spent all her money for the fall semester.
She knows that her father Frank is a puzzle fan so she mails him a puzzle as shown.

She knew her father should be able to resolve this puzzle easily and mail the MONEY to her. Do you know how much money she will be receiving from her father?

Click here for the answer.

 

Best Regards,

Ford Wealth Report

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